SCALAR PRICE PREDICTIONSYOUR PRICE.
SINGLE POOL
SINGLE POOL
Unbinary is a scalar price prediction protocol built on ERC-8378 parametric tokens. Mint a token that carries your exact price — not a discrete Yes/No threshold. One pool. Continuous precision.
Read ERC-8378 specification
here.EXISTING PRICE PREDICTIONS
Discrete thresholds poorly serve scalar predictions. A trader who believes gold settles at $4,312 has to choose between "above $4,300" and "above $4,350" — losing precision on both sides.
Worse, participants cluster positions around the current price rather than the price they actually expect at resolution. The market rewards proximity to spot, not accuracy of the forecast.
The result: the aggregate signal reflects where the price is — not where traders genuinely believe it will go.
Existing price predictions divide the price range into binary buckets - a market of 20-40 independent Yes/No token pairs. Every threshold has a separate pool, so capital and volume spread thin across dozens of narrow markets.
The result: shallow depth on each bucket, especially in tails, inflating slippage to double-digit percentages.
PARAMETRIC PREDICTION TOKEN
Every prediction is a token carrying your exact price quote as an on-chain parameter. No thresholds. No buckets. No hidden meaning behind Yes/No votes.
You mint a token carrying your exact price as a parameter. Not "above X" or "below Y" — the number itself. Your forecast, on-chain. Trade it or keep to resolution. Want to develop a portfolio? - Keep everything in the same account.
Each position carries Prediction and Distance parameters. Payout scales with Distance / Error — you are rewarded for accuracy, not for hugging spot. Make prediction at any time - the closer to resolution the higher mint price.
Every prediction for the same asset shares a single pool. No fragmentation across buckets. Deeper depth, tighter spreads, cleaner signal.
PRICED BY TRADERS,
SETTLED BY MATH
Unbinary doesn't preset strikes, buckets, or thresholds. Every prediction is minted by a trader, carrying their own price prediction and initial distance to spot. P2P trading discovers the consensus, engine redeems at resolution.
30-day interval
Distance-to-Error Reward
Predictions initally far from spot pay more — if correct. Ratio of Distance to Error sets the token's future reward and affects its current price.
Horizon-Agnostic Minting
Mint commitment is paid in USDC and scales as Par · sqrt(8 Weeks / Time-to-Resolution). Minting closes 2 hours before resolution. Every horizon has its own reward pool.
Consolidated Liquidity
Different predictions — different prices, distances, horizons — trade in the same liquidity pool. Token contract contract merges parameters on mint/transfer.
BUILT ON ERC-8378
LAUNCH SCHEDULE
- Smart Contracts
- dApp Interface
- Public Testnet
- Trading Audit
- Community Build-up
- TGE